MRO Aftermarket To Be Heavily Impacted By COVID-19 In The Next Three Years | 未来三年，MRO市场将受到新冠疫情的严重影响

在经历了新冠疫情的急剧萎缩之后，在接下来的10年里MRO市场的飞机售后需求将总计达到8870亿美元。在考虑到疫情流行期间机队封存和在役利用率影响后，MRO市场的复合年增长率将达到3.6％。在2021年至2023年之间，受疫情的影响，人们对市场的期待明显降低，而在疫情发生前，同期的市场规模预测是接近9430亿美元。

After shrinking precipitously, the MRO aftermarket demand post-pandemic totals to $878 billion over the next 10 years, growing at a 3.6% CAGR after factoring in fleet and utilization impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic.  Down from nearly $943 billion forecasted pre-COVID, the pandemic impacts are felt heavily between 2021 and 2023. 

在未来10年的预测中，预计将有超过19万次MRO维修事件（尤其是发动机和机身维修），使年度需求从2021年的710亿美元增加到2030年的980亿美元。

More than 190,000 major MRO service events (specifically engine and airframe ones) are expected over the 10-year forecast, causing the annual demand to increase from $71B in 2021 to $98B in 2030.

发动机MRO的需求总额为4050亿美元，其中仅CFM56系列的MRO市场潜力就达1000亿美元。飞机封存引发的机体大修事件产生了3年期的需求周期波动。而飞机组件需求的增长率为3.9％，产生了1750亿美元的需求。

Engine demand totals $405 billion with the CFM56 family holding $100 billion alone.  Heavy airframe events triggered by aircraft returning to storage produce a 3-year sinewave demand cycle.  Component demand rises at 3.9% CAGR, producing $175 billion in demand.